Recent Papers

Recent Papers

  1. Schrom, E., Kinzig, A., Forrest, S., Graham, A. L., Levin, S. A., Bergstrom, C. T., Castillo-Chavez, C., Collins, J. P., de Boer, R. J., Doupé, A., Ensafi, R., Feldman, S., Grenfell, B. T., Halderman, J. A., Huijben, S., Maley, C., Moses, M., Perelson, A. S., Perrings, C., .Plotkin, J.,. Rexford, J. and . Tiwari, M.  (2023). Challenges in cybersecurity: Lessons from biological defense systems. Mathematical Biosciences 362:109024.
  2. Kim, Y., Tanaka, K., & Perrings, C. (2023). The Impact of International Conservation Agreements on Protected Areas: Empirical Findings from the Convention on Biological Diversity Using Causal Inference. Environmental Management, 72(1), 203-218.
  3. Montalvo-Clavijo, C., Castillo-Chavez, C., Perrings, C., & Mubayi, A. (2023). Neighborhood effects, college education, and social mobility. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 86, 101471.
  4. Padilla, D. G., Gong, X., & Perrings, C. (2023). Modeling the role of land conversion on the spread of an epizootic disease. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 557, 111324
  5. Mamada, R., and Perrings, C. (2022). ‘Entanglement’ and the Exploitation of Common Pool Resources: A Quantum Solution to the Prisoner’s Dilemma. International Game Theory Review: 2150009.
  6. Levin, S. A., Milner, H.V. and Perrings, C. (2021). The dynamics of political polarization. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118: e2116950118.
  7. Perrings, C., Hechter, M. and Mamada, R. (2021). National polarization and international agreements. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118: 2102145118.
  8. Perrings, C., and Espinoza, B. (2021). Mobility Restrictions and the Control of COVID-19. Ecology, Economy and Society-the INSEE Journal 4:31-43.
  9. Mamada, R., & Perrings, C. (2020). Environmental Stochasticity, Cournot Competition and the Prisoner’s Dilemma. International Game Theory Review, 22(1), 1950009. PDF
  10. Wu, T., Perrings, C., Shang, C., Collins, J. P., Daszak, P., Kinzig, A., & Minteer, B. A. (2020). Protection of wetlands as a strategy for reducing the spread of avian influenza from migratory waterfowl. Ambio, 49(4), 939-949. PDF
  11. Mamada, R., & Perrings, C. (2020). The effect of emission charges on output and emissions in dynamic Cournot duopoly. Economic Analysis and Policy, 66, 370-380. PDF
  12. Garduño, G. L., and Perrings,C. (2020). The on-farm diversity of maize cultivars and landraces in the Lacandon region of Chiapas, Mexico. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics 12:113-121.
  13. Hanley, N., & Perrings, C. (2019). The economic value of biodiversity. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 11, 355-375. PDF
  14. Camhi, A. L., Perrings, C., Butterfield, B., & Wood, T. (2019). Market-based opportunities for expanding native seed resources for restoration: A case study on the Colorado Plateau. Journal of Environmental Management, 252, 109644. PDF
  15. Chowell, G., Mizumoto, K., Banda, J., Poccia, S., & Perrings, C. (2019). Assessing the potential impact of vector-borne disease transmission following heavy rainfall events: a mathematical framework. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 374(1775), 20180272. PDF
  16. Wu, T., & Perrings, C. (2018). The live poultry trade and the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza: Regional differences between Europe, West Africa, and Southeast Asia. PLoS One, 13(12), e0208197. PDF
  17. Shanafelt, D. W., Clobert, J., Fenichel, E. P., Hochberg, M. E., Kinzig, A., Loreau, M., Marquet, P.A. & Perrings, C. (2018). Species dispersal and biodiversity in human-dominated metacommunities. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 457, 199-210. PDF
  18. Perrings, C., Levin, S. & Daszak, P. (2018) The Economics of Infectious Disease, Trade and Pandemic Risk. EcoHealth, 1-3. PDF
  19. Shanafelt, D., Jones, G., Lima, M., Perrings, C. & Chowell, G. (2018) Forecasting the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in the United Kingdom. Ecohealth, 1-10. PDF
  20. Morin, B., Kinzig, A., Levin, S. & Perrings, C. (2018) Economic Incentives in the Socially Optimal Management of Infectious Disease: When R0 is Not Enough. EcoHealth, 1-16. PDF
  21. Wu, T. & Perrings, C. (2017) Conservation, development and the management of infectious disease: avian influenza in China, 2004–2012. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 372, 20160126. PDF
  22. Shanafelt, D. & Perrings, C. (2017) Foot and mouth disease: the risks of the international trade in live animals. Revue scientifique et technique-Office international des épizooties, 36, 839-866. PDF
  23. Mamada, R., Lampert, A. & Perrings, C. (2017) Potential Games and the Tragedy of the Commons. Strategic Behavior and the Environment, 6, 311-338. PDF
  24. Huang, B., Abbott, J.K., Fenichel, E.P., Muneepeerakul, R., Perrings, C. & Gerber, L. (2017) Testing the feasibility of a hypothetical whaling‐conservation permit market in Norway. Conservation Biology, 31, 809-817. PDF
  25. Huang, B. & Perrings, C. (2017) Managing the Risks of Sea Lice Transmission Between Salmon Aquaculture and Wild Pink Salmon Fishery. Ecological Economics, 142, 228-237. PDF
  26. Yoo, J. & Perrings, C. (2017) Modeling the short-run costs of changes in water availability in a desert city: a modified input-output approach. International Review of Applied Economics, 31, 549-564.PDF
  27. Yoo, J. & Perrings, C. (2017) An externality of groundwater depletion: land subsidence and residential property prices in Phoenix, Arizona. Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, 6, 121-133.
  28. Perrings, C. (2016) The economics of the marine environment: A Review. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 18, 277-301.
  29. Wu, T., Perrings, C., Kinzig, A., Collins, J.P., Minteer, B.A. & Daszak, P. (2016) Economic growth, urbanization, globalization, and the risks of emerging infectious diseases in China: A review. Ambio, 1-12.
  30. Perrings, C. (2016) Options for managing the infectious animal and plant disease risks of international trade. Food Security, 8, 27-35
  31. Bichara, D., Kang, Y., Castillo-Chavez, C., Horan, R. & Perrings, C. (2015) SIS and SIR epidemic models under virtual dispersal.  Bulletin of mathematical biology, arXiv preprint arXiv:1503.08881  PDF
  32. Shanafelt, D.W., Dieckmann, U., Jonas, M., Franklin, O., Loreau, M. & Perrings, C. (2015) Biodiversity, productivity, and the spatial insurance hypothesis revisited. Journal of theoretical biology, 380, 426-435  PDF
  33. Baggio, M. & Perrings, C. (2015) Modeling adaptation in multi-state resource systems. Ecological Economics, 116, 378-386. PDF
  34. Castillo-Chavez, C., Curtiss, R., Daszak, P., Levin, S.A., Patterson-Lomba, O., Perrings, C., Poste, G. & Towers, S. (2015) Beyond Ebola: lessons to mitigate future pandemics. The Lancet Global Health, 3, e354-e355 PDF
  35. Morin, B.R., Perrings, C., Kinzig, A. & Levin, S. (2015) The Social Benefit of Private Infectious Disease-Risk Mitigation. Theoretical Ecology DOI 10.1007/s12080-015-0262-z. PDF
  36. Naeem, S., Ingram, J.C., Varga, A., Agardy, T., Barten, P., Bennett, G., Bloomgarden, E., Bremer, L.L., Burkill, P., Cattau, M., Ching, C., Colby, M., Cook, D.C., Costanza, R., DeClerck, F., Freund, C., Gartner, T., Goldman-Benner, R., Gunderson, J., Jarrett, D., Kinzig, A.P., Kiss, A., Koontz, A., Kumar, P., Lasky, J.R., Masozera, M., Meyers, D., Milano, F., Naughton-Treves, L., Nichols, E., Olander, L., Olmsted, P., Perge, E., Perrings, C., Polasky, S., Potent, J., Prager, C., Quétier, F., Redford, K., Saterson, K., Thoumi, G., Vargas, M.T., Vickerman, S., Weisser, W., Wilkie, D. & Wunder, S. (2015) Get the science right when paying for nature’s services. Science, 347, 1206-1207. PDF
  37. Simonit, S., Connors, J.P., Yoo, J., Kinzig, A. & Perrings, C. (2015) The Impact of Forest Thinning on the Reliability of Water Supply in Central Arizona. PLOS One, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0121596. PDF
  38. Morin, B.R., Perrings, C., Levin, S. & Kinzig, A. (2014) Disease risk mitigation: The equivalence of two selective mixing strategies on aggregate contact patterns and resulting epidemic spread. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 363, 262-270. PDF
  39. Perrings, C., Castillo-Chavez, C., Chowell, G., Daszak, P., Fenichel, E., Finnoff, D., Horan, R., Kilpatrick, A.M., Kinzig, A., Kuminoff, N., Levin, S., Morin, B., Smith, K. & Springborn, M. (2014) Merging Economics and Epidemiology to Improve the Prediction and Management of Infectious Disease. EcoHealth, 1-12. PDF
  40. Perrings, C. (2014) Environment and development economics 20 years on. Environment and Development Economics, 19, 333-366. PDF
  41. Yoo, J., Simonit, S., Connors, J.P., Kinzig, A.P. & Perrings, C. (2014) The valuation of off-site ecosystem service flows: Deforestation, erosion and the amenity value of lakes in Prescott, Arizona. Ecological Economics, 97, 74-83. PDF
  42. Yoo, J., Simonit, S., Connors, J.P., Kinzig, A.P. & Perrings, C. (2014) Estimating the approximated price elasticity of residential water demand in Phoenix. Applied Economics Perspectives and Policy, 91, 57-68. PDF
  43. Perrings, C., Kinzig, A. & Halkos, G. (2014) Sustainable development in an N-rich/N-poor world. Ambio, doi: 10.1007/s13280-013-0488-1. PDF
  44. Green, O.O. & Perrings, C. (2014) Institutionalized cooperation and resilience in transboundary freshwater allocation. Resilience and Law (ed. by A.S. Garmestani and C.R. Allen), pp. 176-203. Columbia University Press, New York.
  45. Simonit, S. & Perrings, C. (2013) Reply to Ogden and Stallard: Phenomenological runoff models in the Panama Canal watershed. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110, E5038.
  46. Simonit, S. & Perrings, C. (2013) Bundling ecosystem services in the Panama Canal watershed. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110, 9326–9331. PDF
  47. Teelucksingh, S., Nunes P.A.L.D., & Perrings, C. (2013). Biodiversity­ based development in Small Island Developing States. Environment and Development Economics, 18, 381­391. PDF
  48. Yoo, J., Simonit, S., Connors, J. P., Maliszewski, P. J., Kinzig, A. P. and Perrings, C. 2013. The value of agricultural water rights in agricultural properties in the path of development. Ecological Economics 91:57-68. PDF
  49. Larson, E.K. & Perrings, C. (2013) The value of water-related amenities in an arid city: The case of the Phoenix metropolitan area. Landscape and Urban Planning, 109: 45-55. PDF
  50. Maliszewski, P., Larson, E. & Perrings, C. (2013) Valuing the Reliability of the Electrical Power Infrastructure: A Two-stage Hedonic Approach. Urban Studies, 50: 72-87. PDF
  51. Mace, G.M., Perrings, C., Le Prestre, P., Cramer, W., Diaz, S., Larigauderie, A., Scholes, R.J. & Mooney, H.A. (2013) Science to Policy Linkages for the Post-2010 Biodiversity Targets. Biodiversity Monitoring and Conservation: Bridging the Gap between Global Commitment and Local Action (ed. by B. Collen, N. Pettorelli, J.E.M. Baillie and S.M. Durant), pp. 291-310. John Wiley, Hoboken N.J. PDF
  52. Arriagada, R. & Perrings, C. (2013) Making payments for ecosystem services work. Values, Payments and Institutions for Ecosystem Management (ed. by P. Kumar, I. Thiaw and T. Barker), pp. 16-57. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.
  53. Arriagada, R. & Perrings, C. (2013) Paying for international environmental public goods. Values, Payments and Institutions for Ecosystem Management (ed. by P. Kumar, I. Thiaw and T. Barker), pp. 172-191. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.
  54. Dasgupta, P., Kinzig, A.P. & Perrings, C. (2013) The Value of Biodiversity. Encyclopedia of Biodiversity (Second Edition) (ed. by S.A.Levin), pp. 167-179. Academic Press, Waltham. PDF
  55. Cardinale, B.J., Duffy, J.E., Gonzalez, A., Hooper, D.U., Perrings, C., Venail, P., Narwani, A., Mace, G.M., Tilman, D., Wardle, D.A., Kinzig, A.P., Daily, G.C., Loreau, M., Grace, J.B., Larigauderie, A., Srivastava, D.S. & Naeem, S. (2012) Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity. Nature 486, 59-67. PDF
  56. Kinzig, A.P., Perrings, C., Chapin, F.S., Polasky, S., Smith, V.K., Tilman, D. & Turner, B.L. (2012) Response—Ecosystem Services: Free Lunch No More. Science 335, 656-657. PDF
  57. Mori, K. & Perrings, C. (2012) Optimal Management of the Flood Risks of Floodplain Development. Science of the Total Environment 431, 109-121. PDF
  58. Perrings, C. & Halkos, G. (2012) Who Cares about Biodiversity? Optimal Conservation and Transboundary Biodiversity Externalities. Environmental and Resource Economics 52, 585–608. PDF
  59. Iverson, T. and Perrings, C. (2012) Precaution and proportionality in the management of global environmental change.  Global Environmental Change 22, 161–177. PDF
  60. Maliszewski, P. J., & Perrings, C., (2012) Factors in the resilience of electrical power distribution infrastructures, Applied Geography 32 (2), 668-679. PDF
  61. Maliszewski, P. J., Larson, E. K. and Perrings. C. (2012). Environmental determinants of unscheduled residential outages in the electrical distribution of Phoenix, Arizona. Reliability Engineering & System Safety 99, 161-171. PDF
  62. Perrings, C. (2012) The Governance of International Environmental Public Goods. Global Environmental Commons: Analytical and Political Challenges in Building Governance Mechanisms (ed. by E. Brousseau, T. Dedeurwaerdere, P.-A. Jouvet and M. Willinger), pp. 54-79. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
  63. Perrings, C. (2012) The road to wealth accounting. Inclusive Wealth Report 2012.  Measuring progress toward sustainability (ed. by UNU-IHDP and UNEP), pp. 143-164. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  64. Wang, Q., Fenichel, E.P. & Perrings, C. (2012) Border Inspection and Trade Diversion: Risk Reduction vs. Risk Substitution. In Health and Animal Agriculture in Developing Countries (ed. by D. Zilberman, J. Otte, D. Roland-Holst and D. Pfeiffer), pp. 119-134. Springer New York.
  65. Kinzig, A.P., Perrings, C., Chapin, F.S., Polasky, S., Smith, V.K., Tilman, D. & Turner, B.L. (2011) Paying for Ecosystem Services: Promise and Peril. Science, 334, 603-604. PDF
  66. Fenichel, E. P., Castillo-Chavez, C., Ceddia, M. G., Chowell, G., Parra, P. A. G., Hickling, G. J., Holloway, G., Horan R., Morin, B., Perrings, C., Springborn, M., Velazquez, L., Villalobos, C. (2011). Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(15), 6306-6311. PDF
  67. Keller, R., & Perrings, C. (2011). International policy options for reducing the environmental impacts of invasive species. Bioscience, 61, 1005-1012. PDF
  68. Touza, J., & Perrings, C. (2011). Strategic behavior and the scope for unilateral provision of transboundary ecosystem services that are international environmental public goods. Strategic Behavior and the Environment, 1(2), 89-117. PDF
  69. Perrings, C., Duraiappah, A., Larigauderie, A., & Mooney, H. (2011). The Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Science-Policy Interface. Science, 331(6021), 1139 -1140. PDF
  70. Arriagada, R., & Perrings, C. (2011). Paying for International Environmental Public Goods. AMBIO, 40(7), 798-806. PDF
  71. Simonit, S. & Perrings, C. (2011) Sustainability and the value of the ‘regulating’ services: Wetlands and water quality in Lake Victoria. Ecological Economics, 70, 1189–1199. PDF
  72. Perrings, C., Naeem, S., Ahrestani, F. S., Bunker, D. E., Burkill, P., Canziani, G., Elmqvist, T., et al. (2011). Ecosystem services, targets, and indicators for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 9(9), 512-520. PDF
  73. Perrings, C. (2011) Elton and the Economics of Biological Invasions. FiftyYears of Invasion Ecology: The Legacy of Charles Elton (ed. by D.M. Richardson), pp 315-328. Blackwell, Oxford.
  74. Simonit, S. and Perrings, C. (2011) Modeling the economics of ecosystem services at the watershed scale: a spatial model of land use externalities and the regulating functions of wetlands. Research Tools in Natural Resource and Environmental Economics (ed. by A.A. Batabyal and P. Nijkamp), pp. 341-376. World Scientific Publishing, Singapore.
  75. Perrings, C. (2011) Asko 1993:  Commentary.  Bringing Ecologists and Economists Together:  The Asko Meetings and Papers (ed. By T. Soderqvist, A. Sundbaum, C. Folke, C. and K.-G. Maler), pp 47-49, Springer, Dordrecht.
  76. Perrings, C. (2011) Invasion Economics, Encyclopedia of Biological Invasions (ed.  D. Simberloff and M. Rejmanek), pp 375-378, University of California Press, Berkeley.
  77. Ceddia, M.G., Bartlett, M., De Lucia, C. & Perrings, C. (2011) On the regulation of spatial externalities: coexistence between GM and conventional crops in the EU and the ‘newcomer principle’. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 55, 126-143. PDF
  78. Perrings, C., Naeem, S., Ahrestani, F., Bunker, D. E., Burkill, P., Canziani, G., Elmqvist, T., et al. (2010). Ecosystem Services for 2020. Science, 330(6002), 323 -324. PDF
  79. Perrings, C., Naeem, S., Ahrestani, F., Bunker, D.E., Burkill, P., Canziani, G., Elmqvist, T., Ferrati, R., Fuhrman, J., Jasic, F., Kawabata, Z., Kinzig, A., Mace, G.M., Milano, F., Mooney, H., Richard, A.-H.P., Tschirhart, J. & Weisser, W. (2010) Biodiversity Transcends Services‚ Response. Science, 330, 1745. PDF
  80. Kuo, Y.-L., & Perrings, C. (2010). Wasting Time? Recycling Incentives in Urban Taiwan and Japan. Environmental and Resource Economics, 47(3), 423-437. PDF
  81. Perrings, C. (2010). Exotic effects of capital accumulation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(27), 12063 -12064. PDF
  82. Perrings, C. (2010). The Economics of Biodiversity: The Evolving Agenda. Environment and Development Economics, 15, 721-746. PDF
  83. Touza, J., Perrings, C., & Chas Amil, M. L. (2010). Harvest Decisions and Spatial Landscape Attributes: The Case of Galician Communal Forests. Environmental and Resource Economics, 46(1), 75-91. PDF
  84. Mace, G.M., Cramer, W., Diaz, S., Faith, D.P., Larigauderie, A., Le Prestre, P., Palmer, M.R., Perrings, C., Scholes, R.J., Walpole, M., Walther, B.A., Watson, J.E. & Mooney, H. (2010) Biodiversity Targets After 2010. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2, 1–6. PDF
  85. Elmqvist, T., Maltby, E., Barker, T., Mortimer, M., Perrings, C., Aronson, J.L., de Groot, R., Fitter, A., Mace, G., Norberg, J., Sousa Pinto, I. & Ring, I. (2010) Biodiversity, Ecosystems and Ecosystem Services. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity: Ecological and Economic Foundations (ed. by P. Kumar), pp. 41-112. Earthscan, London.
  86. Pascual, U., Muradian, R., Brander, L.M., Gomez-Baggethun, E., Martin-Lopez, B., Verma, M., Armsworth, P., Christie, M., Cornelissen, H., Eppink, F., Farley, J., Loomis, J.B., Pearson, L., Perrings, C. & Polasky, S. (2010) The Economics of Valuing Ecosystem Services and Biodiversity. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity: Ecological and Economic Foundations (ed. by P. Kumar), pp. 183-256. Earthscan, London.
  87. Brock, W.A., Kinzig, A.P. & Perrings, C. (2010) Modeling the Economics of Biodiversity and Environmental Heterogeneity. Environmental and Resource Economics, 46, 43-58. PDF